Summary: First Republic Bank has folded and the Fed has a new “unflinching” report on the regulatory and supervisory failures leading to the SVB failure. SVB’s own mismanagement, the 2018 relaxation to Dodd-Frank plus lax and lethargic supervision are to blame. Our student application exercise gets into some of the specifics here (CAMELS ratings anyone?) while also discussing broad trade-offs that regulators face.
Summary: Big Bank of Japan coming up!! As world markets brace for more news, The Indicator describes how changes to Japan’s yield curve control could create ripples throughout financial markets. Our accompanying exercise works through a graphical exercise to strengthen students’ understanding of the yield curve, especially when “kinks” appear…
Summary: The bond market is “risky and frisky” and the inverted yield curve is flashing red! The Indicator chats with Campbell Harvey who suspects the yield curve may not be right this time or that “it is so right, that it may be wrong.” Students will visit FRED and examine whether Campbell Harvey’s suspicion is true…
In March, the yield curve for United States treasury bonds inverted. For the past six decades, the yield curve has been an extremely accurate indicator of a coming recession. Will this indicator hold true in the coming months?
Original Air Date: August 21, 2019
Length: 18 minutes 54 seconds
Discussion Prompt: What could cause long term treasury bond rates to drop below short term rates?
Discussion Prompt: What steps should the Federal Reserve take in the coming months to prevent a crash similar to the 2008 recession?
Summary: There appears to be fear that another recession is approaching the United States, but what are the warning signs for the country’s economy? From talks about inflation, interest rates, and borrowing, the yield curve is known to be a powerful and the most accurate predictor of recessions.
Link: 
audioecon 