Archive for the ‘yield curve’ Tag

Two Yield Curve Indicators   Leave a comment

Link:https://www.npr.org/2019/08/21/753185863/episode-934-two-yield-curve-indicators

In March, the yield curve for United States treasury bonds inverted. For the past six decades, the yield curve has been an extremely accurate indicator of a coming recession. Will this indicator hold true in the coming months?

Original Air Date: August 21, 2019

Length: 18 minutes 54 seconds

Discussion Prompt: What could cause long term treasury bond rates to drop below short term rates?

Discussion Prompt: What steps should the Federal Reserve take in the coming months to prevent a crash similar to the 2008 recession?

The Recession Predictor   Leave a comment

The Recession PredictorLink: https://www.npr.org/sections/money/2018/01/12/577710151/the-recession-predictor

Summary: There appears to be fear that another recession is approaching the United States, but what are the warning signs for the country’s economy? From talks about inflation, interest rates, and borrowing, the yield curve is known to be a powerful and the most accurate predictor of recessions.

Original Air Date: January 12, 2018

Length: 9 minutes 5 seconds